Notes & terms
- Roof: Solid Condition
Financing Options~$51,817 est. cash to close
Explore financing for this property.
Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
Real ARV$314,000 · 3 investor resales
ARV (county records)$314,000
Range$298,000 to $319,000
This one$265,000
The 3 investor resales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
231 W WINSTON DR PHOENIX 850411,134 sf · resold 2026-06-11 · $335/sf · 0.11 mi$380,000
227 W BEAUTIFUL LN PHOENIX 850411,040 sf · resold 2026-01-23 · $346/sf · 0.41 mi$360,000
6401 S 4TH AVE PHOENIX 85041947 sf · resold 2026-03-02 · $301/sf · 1.31 mi$285,000
How this ARV was figured
The median price per square foot of homes an investor company resold to a buyer using a conventional, FHA or VA loan, within 1.5 mi in the last 12 months, times this home's square footage on the county roll. Source: Maricopa County sales affidavits. Not an appraisal, and not the seller's number. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.Property RecordsCounty assessed $246,700
- County full cash value$246,700
- Parcel (APN)30044274
- Year built1973
- Living area936 sq ft
- Lot6,090 sq ft
- 2026-10-28First reached us
Every price change is for signed-in buyers.
- 2026-10-28$270,000
- 2026-10-28$265,000
What the county value is
The county assessor's full cash value for this parcel. It is an assessment, not an ARV and not an appraisal.Deal AnalysisScore 34/100
Asking$265,000
Est. ARV$314,000
Est. rehab$23,500
Est. profit$-18,656
Est. cash to close$51,817
Max offer at 15% margin$204,500
Deal score 34/100 · flip
- no recorded comps
- aerial only
- listed today
First 48 deal read
At the asking price this is thin for a heavy rehab: about $-18,656 of estimated profit after $23,500 of work, 6 months of carry and selling costs. It works at a lower basis, not at this one.
No usable comparable sales were matched, so the only public anchor is the county's own valuation of $246,700. That is an assessment, not an appraisal.
What the numbers support
$190,000 – $204,500
Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is $60,500 above it.
What to check before you commit
- No comparable sales matched this property, so every value figure here is anchored on the county assessment alone.
- No seller photographs — the only imagery is aerial, so condition is unknown until someone walks it.
- The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
- Built 1973: pre-1978, so lead paint rules apply to the work and the systems are likely original.
The range, not a promise
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
How these numbers are calculated
The score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking aid, not an appraisal. Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale, rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an appraisal or a promise of profit.- Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
- County value $246,700verifiedCounty Assessor full cash value
- Est. ARV $314,000calculatedmedian of 3 investor resales within 1.5 mi, last 12 mo, county records
- Est. rehab $23,500estimated$25/sq ft x 936 sf
- Holding cost $329/moestimatedtax $134 + insurance $105 + utilities $90 a month
- Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
153 W Caldwell Street, PhoenixFlying in…
$265,000
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
- 3 Bed / 1 Bath
- 936 SF
- 6,090 SF LOT
- 1973 Year Built
- Roof: Solid Condition
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.
