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Notes & terms
- Closes 11/03/2026
- Earnest money $5,000
- Beds: 4
- Baths: 2 (County Records Show 1)
Financing Options~$52,195 est. cash to close
Explore financing for this property.
Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
Real ARV$423,000 · 7 investor resales
ARV (county records)$423,000
Range$376,000 to $434,000
This one$259,000
The 7 investor resales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
2902 N 52ND PKWY PHOENIX 850311,649 sf · resold 2026-08-11 · $224/sf · 0.58 mi$369,900
5006 W MERRELL ST PHOENIX 850312,048 sf · resold 2026-07-10 · $166/sf · 0.65 mi$340,000
2952 N 53RD DR PHOENIX 850311,585 sf · resold 2026-03-30 · $224/sf · 0.67 mi$355,000
1602 N 57TH AVE PHOENIX 850351,798 sf · resold 2026-02-17 · $239/sf · 0.81 mi$430,000
3207 N 54TH AVE PHOENIX 850311,695 sf · resold 2026-08-10 · $192/sf · 0.86 mi$325,000
3023 N 57TH DR PHOENIX 850311,428 sf · resold 2026-03-19 · $235/sf · 0.88 mi$334,900
4511 W PALM LN PHOENIX 850351,626 sf · resold 2025-11-10 · $206/sf · 0.97 mi$335,000
How this ARV was figured
The median price per square foot of homes an investor company resold to a buyer using a conventional, FHA or VA loan, within 1 mi in the last 12 months, times this home's square footage on the county roll. Source: Maricopa County sales affidavits. Not an appraisal, and not the seller's number. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.View Comps$330,000 median · 18 sales
Median sold nearby$330,000
This one$259,000
Difference$71,000 under · 22%
The 18 recorded sales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
Price per sq ft$134/sf vs $209/sf sold
How these comps were chosen
18 recorded sales within about three quarters of a mile, same size of house, last 30 months. Source: Maricopa County Assessor — closed sales from the public record, not asking prices. Sold prices are what the buyer paid, in whatever condition the property was in. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.Property RecordsCounty assessed $268,600
- County full cash value$268,600
- Parcel (APN)10317240B
- Year built1968
- Living area1,890 sq ft
- Lot6,299 sq ft
- 2026-10-27First reached us
Every price change is for signed-in buyers.
- 2026-10-27$264,000
- 2026-10-27$259,000
What the county value is
The county assessor's full cash value for this parcel. It is an assessment, not an ARV and not an appraisal.Deal AnalysisScore 60/100
Asking$259,000
Est. ARV$423,000
Est. rehab$47,500
Est. profit$64,825
Est. cash to close$52,195
Max offer at 15% margin$260,500
Deal score 60/100 · flip
- asks 78% of what nearby homes sold for
- 18 recorded sales behind it
- full photo set
- listed today
First 48 deal read
The flip is the stronger read here: after a $47,500 rehab and 6 months of carry, the numbers leave about $64,825 at an estimated $423,000 resale.
The asking price is 78% of the median of 18 recorded sales nearby, and $134 a square foot against $209 sold. Those are closed sales from the county record, not asking prices.
What the numbers support
$240,500 – $260,500
Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is inside it.
What to check before you commit
- The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
- Built 1968: pre-1978, so lead paint rules apply to the work and the systems are likely original.
The range, not a promise
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
How these numbers are calculated
The score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking aid, not an appraisal. Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale, rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an appraisal or a promise of profit.- Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
- County value $268,600verifiedCounty Assessor full cash value
- Comparable salesverified18 closed sales from the county record
- Est. ARV $423,000calculatedmedian of 7 investor resales within 1 mi, last 12 mo, county records
- Est. rehab $47,500estimated$25/sq ft x 1,890 sf
- Holding cost $340/moestimatedtax $145 + insurance $105 + utilities $90 a month
- Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
5212 W Vernon Ave, PhoenixFlying in…
$259,000
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
- Beds: 4
- Baths: 2 (County Records Show 1)
- Sq Ft: 1,890
- Lot Size: 6,299 Sq Ft
- Year Built: 1968
- Close of escrow11/03/2026
- Earnest money$5,000
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.
