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Notes & terms
- 2‑car garage
Financing Options~$63,569 est. cash to close
Explore financing for this property.
Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
Real ARV$486,000 · 3 investor resales
ARV (county records)$486,000
Range$448,000 to $500,000
This one$321,990
The 3 investor resales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
1261 W LOBO AVE MESA 852021,931 sf · resold 2026-02-02 · $259/sf · 0.15 mi$500,000
2156 S EMERSON MESA 852101,440 sf · resold 2025-12-08 · $306/sf · 0.2 mi$439,999
1262 W MENDOZA AVE MESA 852021,523 sf · resold 2026-06-30 · $323/sf · 0.25 mi$492,500
How this ARV was figured
The median price per square foot of homes an investor company resold to a buyer using a conventional, FHA or VA loan, within 0.5 mi in the last 12 months, times this home's square footage on the county roll. Source: Maricopa County sales affidavits. Not an appraisal, and not the seller's number. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.View Comps$475,000 median · 33 sales
Median sold nearby$475,000
This one$321,990
Difference$153,010 under · 32%
The 33 recorded sales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
Price per sq ft$199/sf vs $279/sf sold
How these comps were chosen
33 recorded sales within about three quarters of a mile, same size of house, last 30 months. Source: Maricopa County Assessor — closed sales from the public record, not asking prices. Sold prices are what the buyer paid, in whatever condition the property was in. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.Property RecordsCounty assessed $366,500
- County full cash value$366,500
- Parcel (APN)30204485
- Year built1977
- Living area1,589 sq ft
- Lot9,784 sq ft
- 2026-10-27First reached us
Every price change is for signed-in buyers.
- 2026-10-27$329,990
- 2026-10-27$324,990
- 2026-10-28$321,990
What the county value is
The county assessor's full cash value for this parcel. It is an assessment, not an ARV and not an appraisal.Deal AnalysisScore 70/100
Asking$321,990
Est. ARV$486,000
Est. rehab$39,500
Est. profit$63,980
Est. cash to close$63,569
Max offer at 15% margin$314,000
Deal score 70/100 · flip
- asks 68% of what nearby homes sold for
- 33 recorded sales behind it
- full photo set
- listed today
First 48 deal read
The flip is the stronger read here: after a $39,500 rehab and 6 months of carry, the numbers leave about $63,980 at an estimated $486,000 resale.
The asking price is 68% of the median of 33 recorded sales nearby, and $199 a square foot against $279 sold. Those are closed sales from the county record, not asking prices.
What the numbers support
$291,500 – $314,000
Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is $7,990 above it.
What to check before you commit
- The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
- Built 1977: pre-1978, so lead paint rules apply to the work and the systems are likely original.
The range, not a promise
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
How these numbers are calculated
The score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking aid, not an appraisal. Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale, rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an appraisal or a promise of profit.- Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
- County value $366,500verifiedCounty Assessor full cash value
- Comparable salesverified33 closed sales from the county record
- Est. ARV $486,000calculatedmedian of 3 investor resales within 0.5 mi, last 12 mo, county records
- Est. rehab $39,500estimated$25/sq ft x 1,589 sf
- Holding cost $394/moestimatedtax $199 + insurance $105 + utilities $90 a month
- Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
1142 W Los Lagos Vista Cir, MesaFlying in…
$321,990
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
- 3 Bed / 2 Bath
- 1,589 SF
- 9,784 SF LOT
- 1977 Year Built
- 2‑car garage
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.
