Notes & terms
- Vacant single‑family home built in 2002 with HOA
Financing Options~$55,872 est. cash to close
Explore financing for this property.
Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
Real ARV$349,000 · 6 investor resales
ARV (county records)$349,000
Range$324,000 to $358,000
This one$284,950
The 6 investor resales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
857 S DEL RANCHO MESA 852081,300 sf · resold 2026-04-17 · $338/sf · 0.98 mi$439,000
10922 E CAROL AVE MESA 852081,302 sf · resold 2026-04-30 · $273/sf · 1.06 mi$355,000
217 S NOBLE MESA 852081,190 sf · resold 2026-08-11 · $294/sf · 1.69 mi$350,000
10427 E ARCADIA AVE MESA 852081,302 sf · resold 2025-11-24 · $307/sf · 1.85 mi$399,900
10045 E ISLETA AVE MESA 852091,415 sf · resold 2026-02-02 · $238/sf · 1.91 mi$337,000
10053 E CAPRI AVE MESA 852081,310 sf · resold 2026-03-02 · $305/sf · 1.96 mi$400,000
How this ARV was figured
The median price per square foot of homes an investor company resold to a buyer using a conventional, FHA or VA loan, within 2 mi in the last 12 months, times this home's square footage on the county roll. Source: Maricopa County sales affidavits. Not an appraisal, and not the seller's number. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.View Comps$395,000 median · 18 sales
Median sold nearby$395,000
This one$284,950
Difference$110,050 under · 28%
The 18 recorded sales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
Price per sq ft$240/sf vs $287/sf sold
How these comps were chosen
18 recorded sales within about three quarters of a mile, same size of house, last 30 months. Source: Maricopa County Assessor — closed sales from the public record, not asking prices. Sold prices are what the buyer paid, in whatever condition the property was in. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.Property RecordsCounty assessed $273,500
- County full cash value$273,500
- Parcel (APN)22079385
- Year built2002
- Living area1,166 sq ft
- Lot5,214 sq ft
- 2026-10-27First reached us
What the county value is
The county assessor's full cash value for this parcel. It is an assessment, not an ARV and not an appraisal.Deal AnalysisScore 60/100
Asking$284,950
Est. ARV$349,000
Est. rehab$29,000
Est. profit$-13,267
Est. cash to close$55,872
Max offer at 15% margin$224,500
Deal score 60/100 · flip
- asks 72% of what nearby homes sold for
- 18 recorded sales behind it
- aerial only
- listed today
First 48 deal read
At the asking price this is thin for a heavy rehab: about $-13,267 of estimated profit after $29,000 of work, 6 months of carry and selling costs. It works at a lower basis, not at this one.
The asking price is 72% of the median of 18 recorded sales nearby, and $240 a square foot against $287 sold. Those are closed sales from the county record, not asking prices.
What the numbers support
$208,000 – $224,500
Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is $60,450 above it.
What to check before you commit
- No seller photographs — the only imagery is aerial, so condition is unknown until someone walks it.
- The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
- An HOA is mentioned: get the dues and the transfer fee before underwriting the hold.
The range, not a promise
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
How these numbers are calculated
The score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking aid, not an appraisal. Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale, rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an appraisal or a promise of profit.- Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
- County value $273,500verifiedCounty Assessor full cash value
- Comparable salesverified18 closed sales from the county record
- Est. ARV $349,000calculatedmedian of 6 investor resales within 2 mi, last 12 mo, county records
- Est. rehab $29,000estimated$25/sq ft x 1,166 sf
- Holding cost $343/moestimatedtax $148 + insurance $105 + utilities $90 a month
- Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
1137 S Brice, MesaFlying in…
$284,950
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
- Vacant single‑family home built in 2002 with HOA
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.
