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Notes & terms
- Closes October 30, 2026
- 2-Car Garage
- Year Built: 1999
Financing Options~$63,827 est. cash to close
Explore financing for this property.
Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
Real ARV$428,000 · 3 investor resales
ARV (county records)$428,000
Range$393,000 to $439,000
This one$324,900
The 3 investor resales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
10726 E PORTOBELLO AVE MESA 852121,491 sf · resold 2026-06-24 · $302/sf · 0.06 mi$450,000
11432 E PETRA AVE MESA 852121,670 sf · resold 2026-05-20 · $239/sf · 0.93 mi$399,900
11258 E PRONGHORN AVE MESA 852121,862 sf · resold 2025-10-24 · $287/sf · 0.93 mi$535,000
How this ARV was figured
The median price per square foot of homes an investor company resold to a buyer using a conventional, FHA or VA loan, within 1 mi in the last 12 months, times this home's square footage on the county roll. Source: Maricopa County sales affidavits. Not an appraisal, and not the seller's number. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.View Comps$452,500 median · 12 sales
Median sold nearby$452,500
This one$324,900
Difference$127,600 under · 28%
The 12 recorded sales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
Price per sq ft$215/sf vs $273/sf sold
How these comps were chosen
12 recorded sales within about three quarters of a mile, same size of house, last 30 months. Source: Maricopa County Assessor — closed sales from the public record, not asking prices. Sold prices are what the buyer paid, in whatever condition the property was in. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.Property RecordsCounty assessed $320,300
- County full cash value$320,300
- Parcel (APN)30919691
- Year built1999
- Living area1,491 sq ft
- Lot6,000 sq ft
- 2026-10-27First reached us
Every price change is for signed-in buyers.
- 2026-10-27$329,900
- 2026-10-28$324,900
What the county value is
The county assessor's full cash value for this parcel. It is an assessment, not an ARV and not an appraisal.Deal AnalysisScore 63/100
Asking$324,900
Est. ARV$428,000
Est. rehab$37,500
Est. profit$8,583
Est. cash to close$63,827
Max offer at 15% margin$273,500
Deal score 63/100 · flip
- asks 72% of what nearby homes sold for
- 12 recorded sales behind it
- full photo set
- listed today
First 48 deal read
At the asking price this is thin for a heavy rehab: about $8,583 of estimated profit after $37,500 of work, 6 months of carry and selling costs. It works at a lower basis, not at this one.
The asking price is 72% of the median of 12 recorded sales nearby, and $215 a square foot against $273 sold. Those are closed sales from the county record, not asking prices.
What the numbers support
$254,000 – $273,500
Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is $51,400 above it.
What to check before you commit
- The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
The range, not a promise
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
How these numbers are calculated
The score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking aid, not an appraisal. Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale, rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an appraisal or a promise of profit.- Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
- County value $320,300verifiedCounty Assessor full cash value
- Comparable salesverified12 closed sales from the county record
- Est. ARV $428,000calculatedmedian of 3 investor resales within 1 mi, last 12 mo, county records
- Est. rehab $37,500estimated$25/sq ft x 1,491 sf
- Holding cost $368/moestimatedtax $173 + insurance $105 + utilities $90 a month
- Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
2951 S Del Rancho Cir, MesaFlying in…
$324,900
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
- 3 Bed / 3 Bath
- 1,491 SF
- 6,000 SF Lot
- 2-Car Garage
- Year Built: 1999
- Close of escrowOctober 30, 2026
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.
