Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
View Comps$490,000 median · 35 sales
Median sold nearby$490,000
This one$404,000
Difference$86,000 under · 18%
The 35 recorded sales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
Price per sq ft$154/sf vs $286/sf sold
How these comps were chosen35 recorded sales within about three quarters of a mile, same size of
house, last 30 months. Source: Maricopa County Assessor — closed sales from the public
record, not asking prices. Sold prices are what the buyer paid, in whatever condition the
property was in. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.
Property Records
Year built1984
Living area2,589 sq ft
Listing activity
2026-10-29First reached us
Every price change is for signed-in buyers.
2026-10-29$409,000
2026-10-30$404,000
Deal AnalysisScore 64/100
Asking$404,000
Est. ARV$490,000
Est. rehab$64,500
Est. profit$-46,341
Est. cash to close$78,841
Max offer at 15% margin$293,500
Deal score 64/100 · flip
asks 82% of what nearby homes sold for
35 recorded sales behind it
$154/sf against $286/sf sold
full photo set
First 48 deal read
At the asking price this is thin for a heavy rehab: about $-46,341 of estimated profit after $64,500 of work, 6 months of carry and selling costs. It works at a lower basis, not at this one.
The asking price is 82% of the median of 35 recorded sales nearby, and $154 a square foot against $286 sold. Those are closed sales from the county record, not asking prices.
What the numbers support$270,500 – $293,500Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is $110,500 above it.
What to check before you commit
The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
The range, not a promise
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
How these numbers are calculatedThe score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by
fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking
aid, not an appraisal.
Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale,
rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an
appraisal or a promise of profit.
Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
Comparable salesverified35 closed sales from the county record
Est. ARV $490,000calculatedmedian of 35 recorded sales nearby
Est. rehab $64,500estimated$25/sq ft x 2,589 sf
Holding cost $195/moestimatedinsurance $105 + utilities $90 a month
Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
6411 S River Drive, TempeFlying in…$404,000
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
Beds: 2
Baths: 2.5
Sq Ft: 2,589
Lot Size: 2,374 Sq Ft
Year Built: 1984
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale
price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent
buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.