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Financing Options~$47,409 est. cash to close
Explore financing for this property.
Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
Real ARV$510,000 · 5 investor resales
ARV (county records)$510,000
Range$484,000 to $574,000
This one$239,500
The 5 investor resales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
2254 N 17TH AVE PHOENIX 850071,140 sf · resold 2026-05-01 · $438/sf · 0.48 mi$499,000
1551 W VERNON AVE PHOENIX 850071,569 sf · resold 2026-04-15 · $443/sf · 0.58 mi$695,000
3001 N 21ST AVE PHOENIX 850151,429 sf · resold 2026-05-08 · $388/sf · 0.68 mi$555,000
1546 W WINDSOR AVE PHOENIX 850071,544 sf · resold 2026-02-25 · $369/sf · 0.73 mi$570,000
1721 W EARLL DR PHOENIX 850151,350 sf · resold 2026-01-14 · $312/sf · 0.87 mi$420,750
How this ARV was figured
The median price per square foot of homes an investor company resold to a buyer using a conventional, FHA or VA loan, within 1 mi in the last 12 months, times this home's square footage on the county roll. Source: Maricopa County sales affidavits. Not an appraisal, and not the seller's number. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.View Comps$408,277 median · 12 sales
Median sold nearby$408,277
This one$239,500
Difference$168,777 under · 41%
The 12 recorded sales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
Price per sq ft$234/sf vs $391/sf sold
How these comps were chosen
12 recorded sales within about three quarters of a mile, same size of house, last 30 months. Source: Maricopa County Assessor — closed sales from the public record, not asking prices. Sold prices are what the buyer paid, in whatever condition the property was in. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.Property RecordsCounty assessed $298,200
- County full cash value$298,200
- Parcel (APN)11053010
- Year built1946
- Living area1,002 sq ft
- Lot6,839 sq ft
- 2026-11-02First reached us
What the county value is
The county assessor's full cash value for this parcel. It is an assessment, not an ARV and not an appraisal.Deal AnalysisScore 81/100
Asking$239,500
Est. ARV$510,000
Est. rehab$25,000
Est. profit$191,441
Est. cash to close$47,409
Max offer at 15% margin$345,500
Deal score 81/100 · flip
- asks 59% of what nearby homes sold for
- 12 recorded sales behind it
- $234/sf against $391/sf sold
- full photo set
First 48 deal read
The flip is the stronger read here: after a $25,000 rehab and 6 months of carry, the numbers leave about $191,441 at an estimated $510,000 resale.
The asking price is 59% of the median of 12 recorded sales nearby, and $234 a square foot against $391 sold. Those are closed sales from the county record, not asking prices.
What the numbers support
$322,000 – $345,500
Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is $82,500 below the band.
What to check before you commit
- The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
- Built 1946: pre-1978, so lead paint rules apply to the work and the systems are likely original.
The range, not a promise
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
How these numbers are calculated
The score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking aid, not an appraisal. Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale, rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an appraisal or a promise of profit.- Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
- County value $298,200verifiedCounty Assessor full cash value
- Comparable salesverified12 closed sales from the county record
- Est. ARV $510,000calculatedmedian of 5 investor resales within 1 mi, last 12 mo, county records
- Est. rehab $25,000estimated$25/sq ft x 1,002 sf
- Holding cost $357/moestimatedtax $162 + insurance $105 + utilities $90 a month
- Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
2026 W Alvarado Rd, PhoenixFlying in…
$239,500
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
- Beds: 3
- Baths: 1
- Sq Ft: 1,002
- Lot Size: 6,839 Sq Ft
- Roof: 8 Years Old
- Close of escrow11/19/2026
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.
