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Financing Options~$107,634 est. cash to close
Explore financing for this property.
Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
Real ARV$767,000 · 4 investor resales
ARV (county records)$767,000
Range$650,000 to $894,000
This one$550,000
The 4 investor resales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
11934 S 181ST AVE GOODYEAR 853383,500 sf · resold 2026-04-10 · $329/sf · 0.36 mi$1,150,000
12816 S 183RD AVE GOODYEAR 853382,481 sf · resold 2026-05-19 · $198/sf · 0.51 mi$490,000
18008 W OCOTILLO AVE GOODYEAR 853382,562 sf · resold 2026-07-23 · $289/sf · 0.62 mi$740,000
11530 S MORNINGSIDE DR GOODYEAR 853382,256 sf · resold 2026-07-27 · $224/sf · 0.87 mi$505,000
How this ARV was figured
The median price per square foot of homes an investor company resold to a buyer using a conventional, FHA or VA loan, within 1 mi in the last 12 months, times this home's square footage on the county roll. Source: Maricopa County sales affidavits. Not an appraisal, and not the seller's number. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.View Comps$662,500 median · 32 sales
Median sold nearby$662,500
This one$550,000
Difference$112,500 under · 17%
The 32 recorded sales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
Price per sq ft$182/sf vs $253/sf sold
How these comps were chosen
32 recorded sales within about three quarters of a mile, same size of house, last 30 months. Source: Maricopa County Assessor — closed sales from the public record, not asking prices. Sold prices are what the buyer paid, in whatever condition the property was in. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.Property RecordsCounty assessed $454,500
- County full cash value$454,500
- Parcel (APN)40083710
- Year built2015
- Living area2,992 sq ft
- Lot7,233 sq ft
- 2026-10-28First reached us
What the county value is
The county assessor's full cash value for this parcel. It is an assessment, not an ARV and not an appraisal.Deal AnalysisScore 55/100
Asking$550,000
Est. ARV$767,000
Est. rehab$75,000
Est. profit$43,347
Est. cash to close$107,634
Max offer at 15% margin$484,000
Deal score 55/100 · flip
- asks 83% of what nearby homes sold for
- 32 recorded sales behind it
- full photo set
- listed today
First 48 deal read
The flip is the stronger read here: after a $75,000 rehab and 6 months of carry, the numbers leave about $43,347 at an estimated $767,000 resale.
The asking price is 83% of the median of 32 recorded sales nearby, and $182 a square foot against $253 sold. Those are closed sales from the county record, not asking prices.
What the numbers support
$448,500 – $484,000
Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is $66,000 above it.
What to check before you commit
- The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
The range, not a promise
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
How these numbers are calculated
The score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking aid, not an appraisal. Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale, rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an appraisal or a promise of profit.- Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
- County value $454,500verifiedCounty Assessor full cash value
- Comparable salesverified32 closed sales from the county record
- Est. ARV $767,000calculatedmedian of 4 investor resales within 1 mi, last 12 mo, county records
- Est. rehab $75,000estimated$25/sq ft x 2,992 sf
- Holding cost $441/moestimatedtax $246 + insurance $105 + utilities $90 a month
- Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
12007 S 184th Ave, GoodyearFlying in…
$550,000
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
- Beds: 4
- Baths: 4
- Sq Ft: 2,992
- Lot Size: 7,233 Sq Ft
- Year Built: 2015
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.
