Every figure is an estimate from stated assumptions, not a loan offer or a commitment to lend.
Real ARV$250,000 · 7 investor resales
ARV (county records)$250,000
Range$222,000 to $259,000
This one$148,900
The 7 investor resales are for signed-in buyers. Free, ten seconds, unlocked on every deal.
948 S ALMA SCHOOL RD 8 MESA 85210840 sf · resold 2026-04-15 · $298/sf · 0.07 mi$249,999
839 S WESTWOOD 164 MESA 85210934 sf · resold 2026-02-18 · $219/sf · 0.4 mi$204,500
1730 W EMELITA AVE 2027 MESA 85202954 sf · resold 2026-03-30 · $240/sf · 0.51 mi$229,000
625 S WESTWOOD 146 MESA 85210792 sf · resold 2025-12-23 · $303/sf · 0.62 mi$239,990
930 S DOBSON RD 80 MESA 85202923 sf · resold 2026-04-14 · $314/sf · 0.91 mi$289,500
930 S DOBSON RD 83 MESA 85202923 sf · resold 2026-05-18 · $313/sf · 0.92 mi$289,000
720 S DOBSON RD 27 MESA 85202784 sf · resold 2026-03-04 · $329/sf · 1 mi$258,000
How this ARV was figuredThe median price per square foot of homes an investor company resold to a buyer
using a conventional, FHA or VA loan, within 1 mi in the last 12 months, times this
home's square footage on the county roll. Source: Maricopa County sales affidavits. Not an
appraisal, and not the seller's number. This one is sold as-is and the numbers are yours to run.
Property RecordsCounty assessed $189,100
County full cash value$189,100
Parcel (APN)13428215
Year built1975
Living area825 sq ft
Lot963 sq ft
Listing activity
2026-11-03First reached us
What the county value isThe county assessor's
full cash value for this parcel. It is an assessment, not an ARV and not an appraisal.
Deal AnalysisScore 34/100
Asking$148,900
Est. ARV$250,000
Est. rehab$20,500
Est. profit$50,274
Est. cash to close$30,216
Max offer at 15% margin$160,500
Deal score 34/100 · flip
no recorded comps
aerial only
listed today
First 48 deal read
The flip is the stronger read here: after a $20,500 rehab and 6 months of carry, the numbers leave about $50,274 at an estimated $250,000 resale.
No usable comparable sales were matched, so the only public anchor is the county's own valuation of $189,100. That is an assessment, not an appraisal.
What the numbers support$149,000 – $160,500Clears a 20% margin at the low end and 15% at the high end. Asking is $100 below the band.
What to check before you commit
No comparable sales matched this property, so every value figure here is anchored on the county assessment alone.
No seller photographs — the only imagery is aerial, so condition is unknown until someone walks it.
The rehab figure is a $25/sq ft assumption, not a scope. On a property nobody has walked it is the number most likely to be wrong.
Built 1975: pre-1978, so lead paint rules apply to the work and the systems are likely original.
The range, not a promise
ConservativeARV 7% under · rehab 20% over · +3 months—
Basethe assumptions on this page—
AggressiveARV 5% over · rehab 10% under · −1 month—
Est. profit after selling costs. Break-even resale —.
How these numbers are calculatedThe score and the written read are computed from the figures on this page by
fixed rules, the same way for every listing — not a language model. A score is a ranking
aid, not an appraisal.
Known: the address, the price, the county record and the recorded sales. Estimated: resale,
rehab, holding cost, rent. Yours: anything you change in the calculator. Nothing here is an
appraisal or a promise of profit.
Asking priceimportedas listed by the seller
County value $189,100verifiedCounty Assessor full cash value
Est. ARV $250,000calculatedmedian of 7 investor resales within 1 mi, last 12 mo, county records
Profit, cash, offer ceilingcalculatedfrom the figures above at 10% down, 9.75%, 1 pt, 6 months held
Aerial FlyoverPhotoreal 3D · parcel outline
948 S. Alma School Rd. #27, MesaFlying in…$148,900
Redesign a PhotoAI concept · your finishes
More Details
Seller notes
Small home, potential flip
Off-market and sold as-is. First to earnest money takes it. Price is the wholesale
price and is subject to change. Flip Flow AZ is not a licensed brokerage and does not represent
buyers or sellers; we sell our contractual interest in the property.